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2026 Missouri US House 4 Live Election Results | DDHQ
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November 3, 2026
DDHQ Analytics
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Polymarket
Kalshi
G
2026 Missouri US House 4
2026
November 3rd
Missouri
2026 Missouri US House 4
Results
Forecast
Markets
Vote Drop History
Open in
Decision View
Candidates
Total
Candidate
Party
Votes
Pct
Mark Alford
Alford
*
GOP
2
2
7
,
7
0
2
227,702
5
8
.
4
2
%
58.42%
Jordan Herrera
Herrera
DEM
1
6
2
,
0
6
3
162,063
4
1
.
5
8
%
41.58%
Polls close Nov 3, 7:00 PM EST
3
8
9
,
7
6
5
389,765
0
%
0%
Performance
Race
Margin
Shift
G
2024 MO President
Trump+20.86%
Herrera+4.02%
G
2024 MO US Senate
Hawley+16.38%
Alford+0.46%
G
2024 MO Governor
Kehoe+21.72%
Herrera+4.88%
Geography
Results
Margin
Remaining
Swing
Alford
+0%
+10%
+20%
Herrera
+0%
+10%
+20%
Related Races
P
2026 MO US House 4
P
2026 MO US House 4
Counties
Table Options
County
Leader
Votes
Updated
2024 MO President
2024 MO US Senate
2024 MO Governor
Barton
Alford+75.00%
4,329
Sep 18 10:45PM EDT
Trump+72.12%
Hawley+71.14%
Kehoe+74.86%
Bates
Alford+67.70%
5,984
••••
••••
••••
••••
Benton
Alford+63.50%
7,739
••••
••••
••••
••••
Camden
Alford+60.50%
18,339
••••
••••
••••
••••
Cass
Alford+38.60%
42,420
••••
••••
••••
••••
Cedar
Alford+74.40%
5,156
••••
••••
••••
••••
Dade
Alford+71.10%
3,006
••••
••••
••••
••••
Dallas
Alford+70.60%
6,057
••••
••••
••••
••••
Henry
Alford+59.70%
7,838
••••
••••
••••
••••
Hickory
Alford+67.80%
3,682
••••
••••
••••
••••
Laclede
Alford+70.30%
12,245
••••
••••
••••
••••
Polk
Alford+69.80%
11,332
••••
••••
••••
••••
Pulaski
Alford+60.60%
11,115
••••
••••
••••
••••
St. Clair
Alford+66.90%
3,577
••••
••••
••••
••••
Vernon
Alford+63.40%
6,436
••••
••••
••••
••••
Webster
Alford+67.30%
14,218
••••
••••
••••
••••
Kansas City
Herrera+52.20%
88,201
••••
••••
••••
••••
Jackson County
Alford+11.00%
138,091
••••
••••
••••
••••
Page 1 of 1 (18 total rows)
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Forecasted Win Probability
Mark Alford* 96%