Marjorie Taylor Greene is safe to win Georgia's 14th District

Last updated Nov 4, 12:00 AM

Marjorie Taylor Greene*

>99%

Probability

Shawn Harris

<1%

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+22

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginR+33

Trend—

Forecast Components

Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.

Forecast Breakdown

Fundamentals100%

Generic Congressional Ballot

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

FEC Data

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Marjorie Greene	$8,960,242	$10,062,930	$595	$11,617	YEAR-END	12/31/2024
Shawn Harris	$3,529,949	$3,534,244	$462	-	TERMINATION REPORT	12/31/2024

DDHQ Analytics

Markets

2024 Georgia US House 14

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Social Media

Marjorie Taylor Greene* >99%

Marjorie Taylor Greene is safe to win Georgia's 14th District

Forecast Components

Generic Congressional Ballot

FEC Data