G2026 Texas US House 33
G2026 Texas US House 33
Forecasted Win Probability
Colin Allred
Patrick Gillespie
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 81% fundamentals and 19% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colin Allred | $7,431,941 | $7,272,054 | $50,000 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Colin Allred | $6,842,416 | $6,175,185 | - | - | PRE-RUN-OFF | 5/6/2026 |
