G2026 Texas US House 29
G2026 Texas US House 29
Forecasted Win Probability
Sylvia Garcia*
Martha Fierro
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 81% fundamentals and 19% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sylvia Garcia | $987,402 | $1,158,184 | $562,231 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Sylvia Garcia | $903,166 | $1,099,258 | $562,231 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
 Martha Fierro | - | - | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
