G2026 South Carolina US Senate
G2026 South Carolina US Senate
Forecasted Win Probability
Republicans
Annie Andrews
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Annie Andrews | 42.00% |
| Russell Fry | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 20.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lindsey Graham | 48.00% |
| Annie Andrews | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 7.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lindsey Graham | 47.00% |
| Annie Andrews | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey O. Graham | $21,525,707 | $31,707,365 | $910,398 | $730,107 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Lindsey O. Graham | $20,916,691 | $29,180,380 | $907,792 | $9 | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
 Annie Andrews | $10,804,041 | $6,684,746 | - | $130,493 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Annie Andrews | $8,059,705 | $5,194,396 | - | $120,875 | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
