Forecasted Win Probability
Darline Graham
Annie Andrews
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Darline Graham | 48.00% |
| Annie Andrews | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 9.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Darline Graham | 45.10% |
| Annie Andrews | 43.20% |
| Other Option | 11.70% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Annie Andrews | 34.00% |
| Darline Graham | 34.00% |
| Other Option | 32.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Annie Andrews | $10,804,041 | $6,684,746 | $160 | $140,756 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Annie Andrews | $8,059,705 | $5,194,396 | - | $120,875 | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
 Darline Graham | $346,783 | $95,351 | $1,020,591 | - | PRE-RUN-OFF | 8/5/2026 |
