G2026 Pennsylvania US House 14
G2026 Pennsylvania US House 14
Forecasted Win Probability
Guy Reschenthaler*
David Bradstock
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 79% fundamentals and 21% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Guy Reschenthaler | $4,209,644 | $3,768,044 | - | $173 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Guy Reschenthaler | $3,610,168 | $3,419,788 | - | $173 | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
 David Bradstock | $201,421 | $166,713 | $482 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| David Bradstock | $129,707 | $87,624 | $482 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
