Jon Husted is narrowly favored to win Ohio

Last updated Aug 6, 2:48 PM

Jon Husted*

58%

Probability

Sherrod Brown

42%

Probability

Toss Up

Generic BallotD+5.7

Projected MarginR+3

Trend—

Forecast Components

Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 41% fundamentals, 34% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.

Forecast Breakdown

Fundamentals41%

Polls34%

Markets25%

Ohio Senate General Ballot Test

If the election for Ohio US Senate were being held today, who would voters choose?

Jul 1, 10:22 AM EDTOhioLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Sherrod Brown	47.30%	–	–
Jon Husted	45.80%	–	–
Brown +1.5%
Brown +1.5%

FEC Data

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
No FEC data available

DDHQ Analytics

Markets

Watchlist

Social Media

Jon Husted* 58%

Jon Husted is narrowly favored to win Ohio

Forecast Components

Ohio Senate General Ballot Test

FEC Data