G2026 North Carolina US House 11
G2026 North Carolina US House 11
ForecastLast updated Aug 5, 3:04 PM
Republican Candidate
James Ager
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| James Ager | 45.00% |
| Chuck Edwards | 44.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Ager | $3,052,354 | $867,576 | $53 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| James Ager | $1,690,328 | $575,614 | $43 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
| Chuck Edwards | $939,985 | $563,005 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Chuck Edwards | $784,839 | $406,385 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
Forecasted Win Probability
