G2026 New York US House 1
G2026 New York US House 1
Forecasted Win Probability
Nicholas LaLota
Christopher Gallant
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Nicholas LaLota | 41.00% |
| Chris Gallant | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 20.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nicholas LaLota | $3,795,307 | $1,141,528 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Nicholas LaLota | $3,317,401 | $1,009,728 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 6/3/2026 |
 Christopher Gallant | $647,598 | $475,381 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Christopher Gallant | $515,866 | $434,125 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 6/3/2026 |
