G2026 Nevada US House 4
G2026 Nevada US House 4
Forecasted Win Probability
Steven Horsford*
Cody Whipple
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 80% fundamentals and 20% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Steven Horsford | $3,350,563 | $1,860,631 | $6,142 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Steven Horsford | $2,789,015 | $1,703,392 | $6,142 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
 Cody Whipple | $884,687 | $599,467 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Cody Whipple | $751,392 | $461,078 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
