G2026 Nevada US House 3
G2026 Nevada US House 3
Forecasted Win Probability
Susie Lee*
Martin O'Donnell
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 85% fundamentals and 15% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Susie Lee | $4,401,421 | $1,178,847 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
 Martin O'Donnell | $3,886,422 | $1,505,676 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Susie Lee | $3,862,399 | $1,018,876 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
| Martin O'Donnell | $3,355,917 | $1,156,190 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/20/2026 |
