G2026 Nebraska US House 1
G2026 Nebraska US House 1
Forecasted Win Probability
Mike Flood*
Chris Backemeyer
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Mike Flood | 45.00% |
| Chris Backemeyer | 38.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mike Flood | $2,368,910 | $1,028,941 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Mike Flood | $1,987,433 | $872,370 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/22/2026 |
 Chris Backemeyer | $592,233 | $301,622 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Chris Backemeyer | $354,180 | $162,012 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/22/2026 |
