G2026 Mississippi US Senate
G2026 Mississippi US Senate
Forecasted Win Probability
Cindy Hyde-Smith*
Scott Colom
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 39.00% |
| Scott Colom | 36.00% |
| Other Option | 23.00% |
| Ty Pinkins | 3.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 48.00% |
| Scott Colom | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 17.00% |
| Ty Pinkins | 0.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cindy Hyde-Smith | $5,458,311 | $3,083,958 | $133,948 | $87,669 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | $5,027,031 | $2,729,949 | $133,948 | $86,544 | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
 Scott Colom | $2,384,921 | $1,537,875 | $334,155 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Scott Colom | $1,619,368 | $1,059,741 | $334,155 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
