G2026 Michigan US House 4
G2026 Michigan US House 4
Forecasted Win Probability
Bill Huizenga
Sean McCann
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 20% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Sean McCann | 48.00% |
| Bill Huizenga | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 7.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bill Huizenga | 48.00% |
| Sean McCann | 42.00% |
| Other | 10.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bill Huizenga | 44.00% |
| Sean McCann | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 15.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bill Huizenga | $4,093,991 | $1,934,284 | $240 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
| Bill Huizenga | $4,003,831 | $1,506,810 | $240 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Bill Huizenga | $2,997,558 | $1,209,093 | $240 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
 Sean McCann | $2,620,011 | $933,771 | $32 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
| Sean McCann | $2,508,603 | $850,668 | $32 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Sean McCann | $1,588,043 | $522,934 | $32 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
