G2026 Michigan US House 3
G2026 Michigan US House 3
Forecasted Win Probability
Hillary Scholten
Terri DeBoer
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 82% fundamentals and 18% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hillary Scholten | $2,329,122 | $1,322,264 | $143 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
| Hillary Scholten | $2,287,558 | $1,241,468 | $143 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Hillary Scholten | $1,882,037 | $1,026,922 | $143 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
| Terri Deboer | $551,697 | $190,342 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
| Terri Deboer | $476,511 | $176,760 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Terri Deboer | $242,682 | $18,979 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
