G2026 Kentucky US Senate
G2026 Kentucky US Senate
Forecasted Win Probability
Andy Barr
Charles Booker
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Daniel Cameron | 46.00% |
| Charles Booker | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 14.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andy Barr | $18,799,529 | $16,848,686 | $6,980,575 | $8,317,508 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Andy Barr | $17,222,322 | $15,129,231 | $6,029,543 | $8,317,508 | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
 Charles Booker | $1,099,509 | $789,887 | $28,428 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Charles Booker | $508,684 | $368,375 | $28,428 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
