G2026 Idaho US House 1
G2026 Idaho US House 1
Forecasted Win Probability
Russ Fulcher*
Kaylee Peterson
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Russ Fulcher | 45.00% |
| Kaylee Peterson | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 15.00% |
| Sarah Zabel | 6.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Fulcher | $662,615 | $597,924 | $2,456 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Russell Fulcher | $577,744 | $498,678 | $2,456 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
 Kaylee Peterson | $181,024 | $171,799 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Kaylee Peterson | $145,732 | $134,248 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
