G2026 Georgia US Senate
G2026 Georgia US Senate
Forecasted Win Probability
Jon Ossoff*
Mike Collins
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 55% fundamentals, 20% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 52.00% |
| Mike Collins | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 46.70% |
| Mike Collins | 42.90% |
| Other Option | 10.40% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 56.00% |
| Mike Collins | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 1.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jon Ossoff | $97,986,263 | $59,730,546 | $6,103,357 | $1,014,703 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Jon Ossoff | $81,146,109 | $52,973,407 | $6,083,428 | $1,010,303 | PRE-PRIMARY | 4/29/2026 |
 Mike Collins | $9,693,229 | $7,653,904 | $371,834 | $791,400 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Mike Collins | $8,061,852 | $6,893,065 | $371,196 | - | PRE-RUN-OFF | 5/27/2026 |
