G2026 Florida US House 14
G2026 Florida US House 14Forecasted Win Probability
Democrats
Republicans
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Kathy Castor | 46.20% |
| Mike Beltran | 37.50% |
| Other Option | 16.40% |