G2026 Florida US House 12
G2026 Florida US House 12Forecasted Win Probability
Republicans
Democrats
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Gus Bilirakis | 42.00% |
| Darren McAuley | 40.00% |