G2026 California US House 37
G2026 California US House 37
Forecasted Win Probability
Kamlager Dove* / Mota
Republicans
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 85% fundamentals and 15% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sydney Kamlager Dove | $1,150,468 | $1,026,975 | $10 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Sydney Kamlager Dove | $904,042 | $632,438 | $10 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/13/2026 |
