G2026 California US House 27
G2026 California US House 27
Forecasted Win Probability
George Whitesides*
Jason Gibbs
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 George Whitesides | $3,963,530 | $1,735,347 | $465,544 | $4,552 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| George Whitesides | $3,536,154 | $1,541,321 | $465,544 | $4,552 | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/13/2026 |
 Jason Gibbs | $379,440 | $177,563 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Jason Gibbs | $346,900 | $154,920 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/13/2026 |
