G2026 California US House 17
G2026 California US House 17
Forecasted Win Probability
Ro Khanna*
Ritesh Tandon
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 81% fundamentals and 19% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 45.50% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
Republican | 39.80% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| Democrat +5.7% | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ro Khanna | $13,761,491 | $7,540,830 | $418 | $37,500 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Ro Khanna | $12,643,779 | $6,615,233 | $160 | $37,500 | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/13/2026 |
 Ritesh Tandon | $37,653 | $36,763 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Ritesh Tandon | $33,733 | $26,645 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 5/13/2026 |
