Elise Stefanik is safe to win New York's 21st District

Name: 2022 New York US House 21
Start: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
Location: New York, United States

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Elise Stefanik*

>99%

Probability

Matt Castelli

<1%

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+9

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginR+30

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Elise M. Stefanik	$9,489,981	$10,556,733	$92,385	$166,632	YEAR-END	12/31/2022
Matt Castelli	$2,525,046	$2,424,511	-	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 21