Jerrold Nadler is safe to win New York's 12th District

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Jerrold Nadler*

>99%

Probability

Michael Zumbluskas

<1%

Probability

Safe Democratic

PVID+34

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginD+54

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Jerrold L. Nadler	$2,325,710	$2,819,325	$70,489	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022
Mr. Michael K Zumbluskas	$19,177	$16,056	-	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 12