Nicholas LaLota is likely to win New York's 1st District

Last updated Jul 20, 12:00 AM

Nicholas LaLota

84%

Probability

Bridget Fleming

16%

Probability

Likely Republican

PVIR+3

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginR+6

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Bridget Fleming	$2,690,504	$2,679,870	$165,877	$48,375	YEAR-END	12/31/2022
Nick LaLota	$1,516,572	$1,440,653	$187,005	$1,022,241	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 1