Alex Padilla is safe to win California

Name: 2022 California US Senate
Start: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
Location: California, United States

Last updated Jul 15, 12:00 AM

Alex Padilla*

>99%

Probability

Mark Meuser

<1%

Probability

Safe Democratic

PVID+14

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginD+30

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Alex Padilla	$12,026,093	$4,572,867	$26,222	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022
Mark Meuser	$1,052,437	$1,032,274	-	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 California US Senate