Jay Obernolte is safe to win California's 23rd District

Name: 2022 California US House 23
Start: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2022-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
Location: California, United States

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Jay Obernolte*

98%

Probability

Derek Marshall

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+8

Generic BallotD+7.4

Projected MarginR+16

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Sep 17, 3:57 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	48.30%	-0.1%	+1.6%
Republican	40.90%	-0.4%	+0.5%
Democrat +7.4%
Democrat +7.4%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Derek Marshall	$956,859	$942,608	$2,415	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 California US House 23